Using geostatistical simulation to disaggregate air quality model results for individual exposure estimation on GPS tracks   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Lydia E. Gerharz  Edzer Pebesma 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2013,27(1):223-234

In this work, we address the mismatch in spatio-temporal resolution between individual, point-location based exposure and grid cell based air quality model predictions by disaggregating the grid model results. Variability of PM₁₀ point measurements was modelled within each grid cell by the exponential variogram, using point support concentration measurements. Variogram parameters were estimated over the study area globally using constant estimates, and locally by multiple regression models using traffic, weather and land use data. Model predictions of spatio-temporal variability were used for geostatistical unconditional simulation, estimating the deviation of point values from grid cell averages on GPS tracks. The distribution of deviations can be used as an estimate of uncertainty for individual exposure. Results showed a relevant impact of the disaggregation uncertainties compared to other uncertainty sources, dependent of the model used for spatio-temporal variability. Depending on individual behaviour and variability of the pollutant, these uncertainties average out again over time.  相似文献   

On the energy of the wind stress required to produce internal and inertial waves     

Prof. Dr. W. Krauss 《Ocean Dynamics》1978,31(2):31-49

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A semispectral model on the β-plane     

Wolfgang Krauss  Professor Dr. Chresten Wübber 《Ocean Dynamics》1982,35(5):187-201

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Modelling Indonesian rainfall with a coupled regional model   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Edvin Aldrian  Dmitry Sein  Daniela Jacob  Lydia Dümenil Gates  Ralf Podzun 《Climate Dynamics》2005,25(1):1-17

Long-term high-resolution coupled climate model simulations using the Max Planck Institute Regional Climate Model and the Max Planck Institute Ocean Model have been performed with boundary forcings from two reanalyses: firstly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and secondly from the joint reanalysis of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and the National Center for Atmospheric Research. This study employs a special coupling setup using a regional atmospheric model and a global ocean model. The latter model applies a special conformal grid from a bipolar orthogonal spherical coordinate system, which allows irregular positions of the poles and focuses on the detail over the Maritime Continent. The coupled model was able to simulate stable and realistic rainfall variabilities without flux correction and at two different ocean resolutions. The coupled system is integrated for a period between 1979 and 1993 and the results are then compared to those from uncoupled runs and from observation. The results show improved performance after coupling: a remarkable reduction of overestimated rainfall over the sea for the atmospheric model and of warm SST biases for the ocean model. There is no significant change in rainfall variability at higher ocean model resolution, but the ocean circulation shows less transport variability within the Makassar Strait in comparison to observations. This paper has not been published or considered by any other journal in any language.  相似文献   

Coarse-Scale Horizontal Distribution of Phytoplankton in a Semi-Enclosed Coastal Area     

Lydia  Ignatiades 《Marine Ecology》1984,5(3):217-227

Abstract. The horizontal distribution of phytoplankton in relation to changes in the physico-chemical conditions of a eutrophic semi-enclosed embayment is described. Phytoplanktonic populations derived from a station interval of 6 miles (coarse scale variations) were compared by quantitative (standing stock) and qualitative (species composition, diversity, Diatom/Flagellate ratio) criteria. The results showed that quantitative and qualitative parameters differed in their sensitivity and were affected differently by environmental perturbations. Along a horizontal transect with defined variations in nutrient concentrations, changes in standing stock levels were not significant, but differences in species composition existed and caused coefficients of variation between stations for species diversity up to 50% and of the Diatom/Flagellate ratio up to 120%. Furthermore, distributional differences among certain flagellate species (Prorocentrum micans, Prorocentrum balticum) and diatom species (Nitzschia closterium, Chaetoceros curvisetus) were recorded which showed that the flagellate species were distributed more uniformly than the diatoms along a transect with progressive decrease in nutrient concentrations.  相似文献   

Intertial waves in an infinite channel of rectangular cross section     

Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Krauss 《Ocean Dynamics》1979,32(6):248-266

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On currents,internal and inertial waves in a stratified ocean due to variable winds. Part 1     

Prof. Dr. W. Krauss 《Ocean Dynamics》1976,29(3):87-96

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Wind-generated internal waves and intertial-period motions     

Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Krauss 《Ocean Dynamics》1972,25(6):241-250

Summary The ocean is subdivided into a homogeneous upper layer (Ekman layer) and a continuously stratified lower layer. Horizontal velocities which in analogy to Fredholm's solution contain inertial oscillations, are generated in the upper layer by the tangential stress of the wind field varying both in space and time. The spatial structure of the wave field corresponds to that o the stress field. If the surface remains at rest (=0), vertical motions result from the horizontal oscillations. At the bottom of the Ekman layer the spatial structure of these vertical motions is proportional to divergence and rotation of the wind stress. Internal waves of the lower layer which primarily have periods approaching the inertial-period are generated by the vertical velocity field at the bottom of the Ekman layer (Ekman suction). Their structure is essentially more complicated than near the surface. Beats are a common phenomenon due to the superposition of internal modes.

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Windbedingte interne Wellen und Trägheitswellen

Zusammenfassung Das Meer wird in eine homogene Deckschicht (Ekmansche Reibungsschicht) und eine kontinuierlich geschichtete innere Region unterteilt. Die raum-zeitlich variable tangentiale Schubspannung erzeugt in der Deckschicht Horizontalgeschwindigkeiten, denen analog der Fredholmschen Lösung Trägheitswellen aufgeprägt sind. Ihre räumliche Struktur ist mit der des Schubspannungsfeldes identisch. Wenn keine Stauerscheinungen auftreten (=0), werden durch diese Horizontalbewegungen Vertikalbewegungen bedingt. An der Untergrenze der Ekman-Schicht ist deren räumliche Struktur der Divergenz und Rotation des Schubspannungsfeldes proportional. Das Vertikalgeschwindigkeitsfeld an der Untergrenze der Deckschicht erregt interne Wellen in der unteren Region, die vorwiegend Perioden in der Nähe der Trägheitsperiode aufweisen. Ihre Struktur ist wesentlich komplizierter als in der Deckschicht. Insbesondere zeigen sich Schwebungen.

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Ondulations internes dues au vent et mouvements dont la période dépend de l'inertie

Résumé L'Océan se divise en une couche supérieure homogène (couche d'Ekman) et une couche inférieure stratifiée d'une façon continue. Les vélocités horizontales, affectées, par analogie avec la solution de Fredholm, d'oscillations dues à l'inertie, prennent naissance dans la couche supérieure par suite de l'effort tangentiel du champ du vent, variable à la fois dans l'espace et dans le temps. La structure du champ du vent, dans l'espace, correspond à celle du champ de l'effort. Si la surface reste calme (-0) les mouvements verticaux sont dus aux oscillations horizontales. Au fond de la couche d'Ekman, la structure dans l'espace de ces mouvements verticaux est en rapport avec la divergence et la rotation de l'effort du vent. Les ondulations internes de la couche inférieure qui ont, à l'origine, des périodes proches de celle due à l'inertie, sont engendrées par le champ de la vitesse verticale au fond de la couche d'Ekman (succion d'Ekman). Leur structure est beaucoup plus compliquée que près de la surface. Les battements sont un phénomène commun du à la superposition de modes internes.

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Geochronology and Nd-Sr systematics of Lusatian granitoids: significance for the evolution of the Variscan orogen in east-central Europe     

A. Kröner  E. Hegner  J. Hammer  G. Haase  K. -H. Bielicki  M. Krauss  J. Eidam 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1994,83(2):357-376

A variety of pre-Variscan granitoids and two Variscan monzogranites occurring in the central and western parts of the Lusatian Granodiorite Complex (LGC), Saxonia were dated by the single zircon evaporation method, complemented by whole rock Nd isotopic data and Rb-Sr whole rock and mineral ages. The virtually undeformed pre-Variscan granitoids constitute a genetically related, mostly peraluminous magmatic suite, ranging in composition from two-mica granodiorite, muscovitebearing biotite quartz diorite (tonalite) and granodiorite to biotite granodiorite and monozogranite. ²⁰⁷Pb/²⁰⁶Pb isotopic ratios derived from the evaporation of single zircons separated from 13 samples representing the above rock types display complex spectra which document significant involvement of late Archaean to late Proterozoic continental crust in the generation of the granitoid melts. Mean ²⁰⁷/Pb/²⁰⁶Pb ages for zircons considered to reflect the time of igneous emplacement range between 542 ± 9 and 587 ± 17 Ma, typical of the Cadomian event elsewhere in Europe, whereas zircon xenocrysts yielded ages between 706 ± 13 and 2932 ± Ma. Detrital zircons from greywackes intruded by the granitoids and found as xenoliths in them provided ages between 1136 ± 22 and 2 574 ± Ma. Rb-Sr whole rock data display good to reasonable linear arrays that, with one exception, correspond to the emplacement ages established for the zircons. Two post-tectonic Variscan monzogranites yielded identical ²⁰⁷/Pb/²⁰⁶Pb single zircon ages of 304 ± 14 Ma and record the end of Variscan granitoid activity in the LGC.The variations in Nd and Sr isotopic data of the Cadomian granitoids are consistent with an origin through the melting and mixing of Archean to early Proterozoic crust with variable proportions of mantle-derived, juvenile magmas. Such mixing may have occurred at the base of an active continental margin or in an intraplate setting through plume-related magmatic underplating. The LGC is interpreted here as a Cadomian (Pan-African) terrane distinct from adjacent Variscan and pre-Variscan domains, the origin of which remains obscure and which probably became involved in Palaeozoic terrane accretion late in the Variscan event.  相似文献   

A chronological and palaeoenvironmental re-evaluation of two loess-palaeosol records in the northern Harz foreland,Germany, based on innovative modelling tools     

Christoph Schmidt  Christian Zeeden  Lydia Krauß  Frank Lehmkuhl  Ludwig Zöller 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2021,50(3):746-763

The continuing development of analytical methods for investigating sedimentary records calls for iterative re-examination of existing data sets obtained on loess-palaeosol sequences (LPS) as archives of palaeoenvironmental change. Here, we re-investigate two LPS (Hecklingen, Zilly) in the northern Harz foreland, Germany, being of interest due to their proximity to the Scandinavian Ice Sheet (SIS) and the position between oceanic climatic influence further west and continental influence towards the east. First, we established new quartz OSL and polymineral IRSL chronologies. Both methods show concordant ages in the upper part of the Hecklingen profile (~20–40 ka), but in the lower part IRSL underestimates OSL ages by up to ~15 ka for the period 40–60 ka. Interpretations hence refer to the OSL data set. Second, we applied Bayesian age-depth modelling to data sets from Hecklingen to resolve inversions in the original ages, also reducing averaged 1σ uncertainty by ~19% (OSL) and ~12% (IRSL). Modelled chronologies point out phases of increased (MIS 2, early MIS 3) and reduced (middle and late MIS 3) sedimentation, but interpretation of numerical rates is problematic because of intense erosion and slope wash particularly during MIS 3. Finally, previously obtained grain-size data were re-investigated by end member modelling analyses. Three fundamental grain-size distributions (loadings) explain the measured data sets and offer information on intensity and – combined with modelled OSL ages – timing of geomorphic processes. We interpret the loadings to represent (i) primary loess accumulation, (ii) postdepositional pedogenesis and/or input of aeolian fine fractions, and (iii) input of coarse aeolian material and/or slope wash. The applied modelling tools facilitate detailed understanding of site-formation through time, allowing us to correlate a strong peak in mean grain size at ~26–24 ka to the maximum extent of the SIS and increased influence of easterly winds.  相似文献